El estudio de Wharton muestra el impacto de la IA generativa en la productividad a largo plazo. Evalúa las oportunidades en eficiencia frente a los retos laborales y medición. Hablemos en Barysa S.A. sobre cómo estos cambios pueden ser una ventaja para su negocio.
Generative AI is expected to increase productivity and GDP by approximately 1.5% by 2035, nearly 3% by 2055, and 3.7% by 2075. The strongest boost to annual productivity growth is anticipated in the early 2030s, with a peak contribution of 0.2 percentage points in 2032.
Around 40% of current GDP could be significantly impacted by generative AI, with occupations at the 80th percentile of earnings being the most exposed. Approximately half of the work in these high-earning jobs is susceptible to automation by AI.
Long-term Effects of AI Adoption
While AI's boost to productivity growth is projected to peak in the early 2030s, its long-term effect will result in a permanent increase in total factor productivity (TFP) levels, estimated to be around 1.5% higher by 2035, 3% higher by 2055, and 3.7% higher by 2075 compared to a scenario without AI.
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